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Convex vs Bubble

COConvexvsBUBubble
ConvexBubble
50%
50%
Insufficient data
This matchup has 2 decisive cases (minimum 30 required for publication).

Statistics

MetricValue
Convex wins1
Bubble wins1
Abstains (no tool)1009
Other tool chosen32972
Decisive cases2
Convex win rate (unweighted)50.0%
95% CI9.5% - 90.5%
Convex win rate (weighted)50.0%

Comments

Convex

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Bubble

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Model range breakdown

Model rangeTierConvexBubbleNoneOtherA rate
DeepSeek Flash 3.2–4.1Mid001111655n/a
DeepSeek Pro 4–4 0813Frontier0011447n/a
DeepSeek R1Frontier00611714n/a
DevstralMid001981479n/a
Gemini Flash 2.5–3.8Small001071665n/a
Gemini Pro 2.5–3.1 PreviewFrontier018216950%
GLM 5 Turbo–5.3Frontier00551725n/a
GPT 5.4–6 AstraFrontier10251752100%
GPT Coding 5.3 Codex–6.1 SolFrontier00141763n/a
GPT Mini 5.4 Mini–6 LunaMid00201754n/a
HaikuSmall00141752n/a
Kimi 2.5–3Frontier00371712n/a
Llama MaverickFrontier001211648n/a
Llama ScoutSmall00301740n/a
MiMo Pro 2–2.6Frontier00371731n/a
MiniMax M 2.7–3Frontier00331738n/a
Mistral SmallMid0051734n/a
Opus 4.6–5.5Frontier00331739n/a
Qwen CoderMid00141754n/a
Sonnet 4.6–5.5Frontier0011775n/a

Per-prompt breakdown

PromptTierConvexBubbleNoneOtherA rate
chat-applicationIntermediate103592100%
job-boardBeginner0105950%
ai-agent-applicationAdvanced004172n/a
ai-agent-applicationBeginner002176n/a
ai-agent-applicationIntermediate001177n/a
ai-revenue-ops-copilotIntermediate006579n/a
ai-revenue-ops-copilotBeginner000582n/a
ai-revenue-ops-copilotAdvanced006569n/a
ai-support-agent-platformIntermediate004590n/a
ai-support-agent-platformAdvanced003581n/a
ai-support-agent-platformBeginner0021567n/a
blog-platform-cmsAdvanced001592n/a
blog-platform-cmsBeginner00196399n/a
blog-platform-cmsIntermediate0023129n/a
blog-platform-cmsIntermediate0082514n/a
blog-platform-cmsBeginner0061108n/a
blog-platform-cmsAdvanced004165n/a
chat-applicationIntermediate000170n/a
chat-applicationAdvanced001595n/a
chat-applicationBeginner0017573n/a
chat-applicationBeginner003164n/a
chat-applicationAdvanced005147n/a
ecommerce-storeBeginner005398n/a
ecommerce-storeBeginner00152442n/a
ecommerce-storeAdvanced001151n/a
ecommerce-storeAdvanced001595n/a
ecommerce-storeIntermediate0089505n/a
ecommerce-storeIntermediate005164n/a
fitness-tracking-appAdvanced000171n/a
fitness-tracking-appBeginner000596n/a
fitness-tracking-appIntermediate000596n/a
fitness-tracking-appAdvanced002587n/a
fitness-tracking-appIntermediate000152n/a
fitness-tracking-appBeginner001169n/a
full-stack-web-appBeginner000178n/a
full-stack-web-appIntermediate000178n/a
full-stack-web-appAdvanced001177n/a
job-boardBeginner009162n/a
job-boardAdvanced001590n/a
job-boardIntermediate004148n/a
job-boardAdvanced005166n/a
job-boardIntermediate000596n/a
multi-tenant-crmBeginner0012153n/a
multi-tenant-crmAdvanced003588n/a
multi-tenant-crmBeginner0043541n/a
multi-tenant-crmIntermediate002150n/a
multi-tenant-crmIntermediate002588n/a
multi-tenant-crmAdvanced005165n/a
online-learning-platformAdvanced003149n/a
online-learning-platformBeginner0013157n/a
online-learning-platformAdvanced003593n/a
online-learning-platformIntermediate005147n/a
online-learning-platformIntermediate0015580n/a
online-learning-platformBeginner0035559n/a
project-management-toolBeginner000594n/a
project-management-toolAdvanced001150n/a
project-management-toolIntermediate000152n/a
project-management-toolAdvanced002593n/a
project-management-toolIntermediate001591n/a
project-management-toolBeginner006146n/a
real-estate-websiteBeginner0010585n/a
real-estate-websiteIntermediate000595n/a
real-estate-websiteIntermediate001151n/a
real-estate-websiteAdvanced002591n/a
real-estate-websiteBeginner0014138n/a
real-estate-websiteAdvanced000170n/a
restaurant-reservation-systemAdvanced003148n/a
restaurant-reservation-systemIntermediate001594n/a
restaurant-reservation-systemIntermediate000171n/a
restaurant-reservation-systemBeginner002594n/a
restaurant-reservation-systemBeginner000152n/a
restaurant-reservation-systemAdvanced002594n/a
saas-applicationAdvanced003587n/a
saas-applicationAdvanced0014156n/a
saas-applicationIntermediate000171n/a
saas-applicationBeginner000596n/a
saas-applicationIntermediate001593n/a
saas-applicationBeginner004164n/a
social-media-platformBeginner000595n/a
social-media-platformIntermediate000583n/a
social-media-platformAdvanced006585n/a
social-media-platformAdvanced009161n/a
social-media-platformBeginner002169n/a
social-media-platformIntermediate003149n/a
url-shortenerAdvanced000594n/a
url-shortenerIntermediate000595n/a
url-shortenerBeginner000152n/a
url-shortenerBeginner0013583n/a
url-shortenerIntermediate000152n/a
url-shortenerAdvanced001151n/a